Box Office Breakdown for Weekend of 2/25/24

Movies

What’s up, Geeks + Gamers? It’s ODIN!

Bob Marley Smokes Madame Web

As we look forward to a potential box office wake-up call from next week’s release of Dune: Part Two, we have another slow weekend at the box office with Bob Marley: One Love once again taking the #1 spot and newcomer Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba taking #2. This means that after the historically awful opening weekend seen by Madame Web, we continue to see the film fall apart. Not only is it now being reported to have cost $100 million to make (after original reports of $80 million), but it also saw a sharp week 2 drop that cemented its place in box office flop history. Though the drop was not as sharp as it could have been percentage-wise, it was still more than enough to make breaking even statistically improbable… if not impossible. Based on the second-weekend numbers, we can project that Bob Marley: One Love will make somewhere between $158 million and $221 million, while Madame Web will make between $87 million and $122 million. This means that while Bob Marley is looking at possibly losing around $9 million or making as much as $28 million in net profit, Madame Web will LOSE between $76 million and $97 million. With the newly discovered budget and the near 50/50 split between its domestic and international box office, Madame Web is in a lot of financial trouble.

According to the-numbers.com, the top 5 this weekend were:

1.  Bob Marley: One Love (53% domestic drop in 2nd weekend)
2.  Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba– To the Hashira Training ($11.5 million as new release)
3.  Ordinary Angels ($6.5 million as new release)
4.  Madame Web (61% drop in 2nd weekend)
5.  Migration (22% drop in 10th weekend)

Drive-Away Dolls and Ordinary Angels Exist

As the new film by the co-writer of last year’s Jesus Revolution, Ordinary Angels tells a story about the power of faith and community. As of this writing, no budget has been reported for Ordinary Angels, so it is difficult to determine whether or not this movie is in any financial danger. It is usually the case, however, that films rooted in principles of faith tend not to cost very much, so the chances of it breaking even are better than most. In contrast, the new film by Ethan Coen and his wife, Drive-Away Dolls, likely cost much more, therefore, its roughly $2,600,000 start at the domestic box office does not bring about much confidence in its future success. To start at the #8 spot in an opening weekend is usually not a good sign.

If you want further analysis on these or any other films, check out the full charting I do over at my website. Have a wonderful rest of your day, and, as always, God bless!

(If you ever want further insight into my methodology, see my previous articles HERE and HERE.)