Box Office Breakdown for Weekend of 3/30/25
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Snow White Loses to A Working Man;+$300 Million in Losses Now Expected
The atrocious opening weekend of Disney’s latest live-action remake, Snow White, was followed by equally bad day-to-day performances during the week. More salt has now been sprinkled onto the rotting wound that is the modern Disney box office as the new Jason Statham film, A Working Man, is now projected to take the #1 spot domestically this weekend, ending Snow White’s reign after just one weekend. Not only is this a surprise for the new Amazon MGM film, which did better than expected after mostly positive audience reviews, but it is especially jarring for Disney as the norm is for kids/family movies to have good box office holds down the line and not to see MCU-level drops. Snow White fell roughly 66% from its domestic opening, one of the worst drops for a live-action adaptation. For comparison, the box office flop that was Dumbo (2019) only dropped 60% in its 2nd weekend, and the box office drop for The Little Mermaid (2023) was only 57%. These numbers show that the movie is not seeing the legs that this genre normally has guaranteed and that its chances of reaching the rather low heights of either Dumbo or The Little Mermaid are nearly impossible.
While Snow White did catch up to the domestic take of The Marvels (2023), as I had expected, the international audiences are still showing very little interest in the Disney property. By the end of the 2nd weekend, The Marvels, which went on to make only about $200 million globally, had a 2nd global weekend near $161 million, while Snow White has only reached $143 million. Though that may not seem like a lot of separation (and it is still quite early in the box office run for Snow White), if the international edge were to continue for The Marvels in comparison, it would mean that Snow White may easily make less when all is said and done.
Going to the charts, we can now project that Snow White will likely make between $204,449,404 and $286,229,166 globally if it is able to have an average run at the box office. This means that we can now project (barring some down-the-line miracle) that this will be the worst-performing live-action adaptation in Disney’s history. If we calculate the movie as having a budget at the widely reported $270 million figure, it would mean that the film is set to lose well over $250 million. There is good reason to suspect that the budget is likely much higher (close to $300 million before marketing), which would mean it would not at all be surprising if the film lost well over $300 million after you account for marketing costs and the splits between theaters and the studios. Ultimately, whatever the budget for the film might be (and it is not the $350 million figure that people have been spinning about), Snow White is set to lose Disney a ton of money. When added to the losses already accrued by Captain America: Brave New World, this means that Disney is already looking at over $500 million in losses, and it is only the end of March!
*UPDATE*
After finishing this article, it was revealed by Caroline Reid of Forbes that the new reported budget, based on the tax filings from Disney in the UK, ballooned to $300 million in net spending after all of the tax credits and still before any marketing costs have been accounted for. Shout out to Valliant Renegade for predicting this months ago and sharing the original article! This guarantees that the film will lose roughly +$300 million.
According to the-numbers.com, the top 5 this weekend domestically were:
- A Working Man ($15.2 million as a new release)
- Snow White (66% drop in 2nd weekend)
- The Chosen: Last Supper Part 1 ($11.4 million as a special Fathom release)
- The Woman in the Yard ($9.4 million as a new release)
- Death of a Unicorn ($5.7 million as a new release)
A Working Man Opens Strong But Still Needs a Bit More
There is no doubt that A Working Man is a huge win not only for Amazon MGM Studios but also for Jason Statham. While the expected $40 million budget (which has not yet been verified) does mean that the movie is still about $45 million in the red, one cannot argue that this is somehow a bad weekend for the film in any way. As the film currently rocks a solid 64% “Rad” score from 22 reviews over on Criticless, it is clear that A Working Man is resonating with general audiences, and that has given the film a small burst of life thanks to some positive word-of-mouth. If it has an average box office run from this point forward, A Working Man will still likely end as a small box office flop. That being said, the win over a massive Disney IP like Snow White has to be making the executives of Amazon quite pleased with the result.
Check out my latest box office videos on my YouTube channel HERE!
If you want further analysis on these or any other films, check out the full charting I do over at my website. Have a wonderful rest of your day, and, as always, God bless!
(If you ever want further insight into my methodology, see my previous articles HERE and HERE and the RCC method I use to break down movies internationally HERE.)
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Comments (1)
Nothing out there, but I might see the Jason one. Thinking about Snow White, and I truly believe that this is the beginning of the end for Disney. You just don’t put out something that bad and insulting without being rotten to the core as a company.
Whatever goodness was left at Disney vanished prior to releasing Snow White. To have that be a product sends many messages. Replacement, disrespect, and a bunch of other things. This is what a lot of corporate and academia has become which is a kind of hawty and arrogant pushy bullying without any care to observer or audience.
People who care should be concerned, but I’d stay away from Disney as I think, inside, they have ill will towards your kids. Clear manipulators with bad intentions.
As for Zegler, I recall listening to a young musician on NPR that sounded a lot like her, but much younger. Even the host of the show that was interviewing the young girl musician told the left-wing crowd to keep in mind her age. The point is that these young girls are getting their heads filled with life-destroying feminism.