What’s up, Geeks + Gamers? It’s ODIN!
If anyone had told me a few months ago that the Minecraft movie would have any chance of making $1 billion at the global box office, I would’ve laughed in your face. Though I did not deny the possible success the film could see since it had a relatively low $150 million production budget in comparison to other large IP box office properties, the trailers did not make it seem like it would be that compelling to the target demographic. Oh, how wrong I was, as not only did A Minecraft Movie make much more than anyone could have anticipated, but it is also doing so almost completely because of Gen Z, millennials, and younger generations. They are showing up in droves to see it while embracing the memes, in rare cases causing some chaos at the theater, and now more clearly than ever delivering Warner Bros. a massive box office win, which they desperately needed after a few years of several box office flops and very few successes. This is also a massive win for movie theaters, which have struggled with a lack of general audiences thanks to the creative void that Hollywood has been. Not only has Minecraft delivered massive numbers for their theaters, but those numbers have also destroyed the modern box office media, who, once again, underprojected what the film was going to make.
With a two-week global total reaching roughly $550 million, we can now project that A Minecraft Movie will make somewhere between $786 million and $1.1 billion when all is said and done. Though the movie is overperforming every single week, especially in the domestic market, we really don’t know how it will do long-term as we enter Holy Week and the Easter season. If the film continues to hold as well as it currently is – which, for the record, was only a 50% domestic drop in its second weekend, which is insane compared to so many others – it would mean that this film’s chances of reaching $1 billion are now very high.
One comparison to showcase this chance more clearly is by going back to Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness, which opened to $450 million globally and, though it had a massive week-to-week drop-off, was still able to leg out to $950 million or so. With A Minecraft Movie being much better received by its core audience and the current data that is available, we are likely to see this film continue to hold well through the holiday season and even into the early summer months.
Lastly, it must be stated that after only two weeks of release, A Minecraft Movie has officially broken even and has started to make profits, with my charting currently indicating it has made $34 million in net profits after you account for theater and studio revenue splits and the likely marketing cost of the film on top of it $150 million budget. No matter how anyone tries to spin it, this is a massive win for Warner Bros. and for what will clearly be a new massive franchise for Jack Black and the others involved.
According to the-numbers.com, the top 5 this weekend domestically were:
While most people will be talking about A Minecraft Movie this weekend, and rightly so, there were several other new releases this weekend that showed there is still some life for the lower-budgeted movies, though not all of the news is great. The new film from Angel Studios called The King of Kings opened to $19 million with much of that coming from pre-sales domestically. Though we do not have an official budget reported since Angel Studios is the distributor and not the producer, we can assume they are already making a fair amount of profit on this film.
A new film from 20th Century Studios (owned by Disney) called The Amateur opened to $32.2 million worldwide and had a reported budget of $60 million. Though that might seem like a good number for a relatively unknown film, they still have quite a bit left to make if they want any chance of breaking even, which has been very difficult even for films with budgets like this one.
The story is also mixed for two other new releases. One is called Drop from Universal, which opened to $7.5 million domestically and $2.5 million internationally. Since that one has a reported budget of only $11 million, it is about 1/3 of the way to its breakeven point. Lastly, when it comes to the latest film from A24 called Warfare, which has gotten very solid reviews over on Criticless (currently 83% “Most Excellent”), it opened to $8.3 million domestically but had a slightly higher $20 million budget, which means that based on this start, the chances of it breaking, even at the box office, do not seem very likely. While films like A Minecraft Movie are able to bring in tons of moviegoers, even with large budgets, the smaller and medium-sized films have not been able to drive the same number of people or, at the very least, a number that they would need to satisfy their financial obligations and therefore continue to make the box office a rather bleak place as we get close to the halfway point of 2025.
Check out my latest box office videos on my YouTube channel HERE!
If you want further analysis on these or any other films, check out the full charting I do over at my website. Have a wonderful rest of your day, and, as always, God bless!
(If you ever want further insight into my methodology, see my previous articles HERE and HERE and the RCC method I use to break down movies internationally HERE.)
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